Islanders vs Kings Score & Box Score — Thu, Nov 12, 2026 | HabsMetrics

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SCHEDULEDCrypto.com Arena · Nov 13

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NYI rest: 2dLAK rest: 1d

NYIaway

48%

at

LAKhome

52%

Win probability4-pt gap

Model pick

LAK · 52% to win

Key signals

Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)InjuriesProjected GoaltendingTeam Offense (Goal Model)

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Projected score

NYI

2.7

–

LAK

2.8

Most likely final: LAK 3–2 NYI

LAK win: 52%
NYI win: 48%
Goes to OT/SO: 26%

Likeliest scorelines

LAK 3 – 2 NYI9%
LAK 2 – 3 NYI9%
LAK 2 – 1 NYI7%
LAK 1 – 2 NYI7%
LAK 4 – 3 NYI6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 43%
7+ total goals: 33%
LAK by 2+: 24%
NYI by 2+: 22%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to LAK.+0.17
Team DefenseLAK allowing +0% vs league average, NYI -5%.-0.15
InjuriesLAK without Mats Zuccarello, Kevin Fiala; NYI without Ryan Pulock, Mathew Barzal, Matias Maccelli.+0.12
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Darcy Kuemper (LAK) -0.04 g/gm; Ilya Sorokin (NYI) +0.04 g/gm.-0.08
Team OffenseLAK scoring -6% vs league average, NYI -7% (time-weighted goal model).+0.04

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

NYI

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1

12:17

17:24

20:29

20:31

L2

9:32

15:16

17:33

15:11

L3

5:24

13:25

17:48

15:32

L4

0:56

11:35

9:52

D1

6:51

24:33

19:45

D2

9:22

21:11

20:51

D3

6:29

14:00

12:51

59:26

Starter

0:00

Backup

Injured / Scratched

Ryan Pulockother · Upper Body
Mathew Barzalinjured-reserve · Knee
Matias Maccelliinjured-reserve · Left Lower Body
Calum Ritchieinjured-reserve · Lower Body
Alexander Romanovinjured-reserve · Right Knee (Surgery)

LAK

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1

15:51

24:50

23:13

17:31

L2

11:34

18:30

22:15

19:42

L3

6:45

9:32

11:05

10:40

L4

4:30

11:44

5:41

6:11

D1

12:45

21:35

20:07

D2

14:49

23:11

18:05

D3

13:22

18:11

14:38

57:57

Starter

0:00

Backup

Injured / Scratched

Jakub Dvorakinjured-reserve · Upper Body
Adrian Kempeday-to-day · Undisclosed
Jan Jenikinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
Mats Zuccarelloinjured-reserve · Upper Body
Alex Turcotteinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
Kevin Fialainjured-reserve · Left Lower Leg (Surgery)

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice