NJDaway
54%at
NYIhome
46%Win probability8-pt gap
Model pick
NJD · 54% to win
Key signals
Team Offense (Goal Model)InjuriesHome IceMarket Consensus BlendProjected Goaltending
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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LIVEUBS Arena · Nov 8
NJD rest: 1dNYI rest: 1d
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Projected score
NJD
3.0
–
NYI
2.7
Most likely final: NYI 2–3 NJD
- NYI win
- 46%
- NJD win
- 54%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 25%
Likeliest scorelines
- NYI 2 – 3 NJD9%
- NYI 3 – 2 NJD8%
- NYI 3 – 4 NJD7%
- NYI 1 – 2 NJD6%
- NYI 4 – 3 NJD6%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 47%
- 7+ total goals
- 37%
- NYI by 2+
- 20%
- NJD by 2+
- 27%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Team OffenseNYI scoring -7% vs league average, NJD +2% (time-weighted goal model).-0.28
- InjuriesNYI without Ryan Pulock, Mathew Barzal, Matias Maccelli.-0.23
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to NYI.+0.18
- Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.-0.07
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Ilya Sorokin (NYI) +0.04 g/gm; Jake Allen (NJD) -0.03 g/gm.+0.07
- Team DefenseNYI allowing -4% vs league average, NJD -2%.+0.05
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
NJD
Actual (from shift data)Injured / Scratched
- Seamus Caseyinjured-reserve · Knee
NYI
Actual (from shift data)Injured / Scratched
- Ryan Pulockother · Upper Body
- Mathew Barzalinjured-reserve · Knee
- Matias Maccelliinjured-reserve · Left Lower Body
- Calum Ritchieinjured-reserve · Lower Body
- Alexander Romanovinjured-reserve · Right Knee (Surgery)
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice