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FINALClimate Pledge Arena · Nov 7
NYR rest: 0dSEA rest: 1d

Game analysis

Rangers beat Kraken 4–3

  • P. Dorofeyev scored the game-winner at 12:46 of the second.
  • The Rangers scored first and led the rest of the way.
  • J. Korpisalo stopped 25 of 28 shots (.893) for the win.
  • Power play: NYR 1/3, SEA 1/2.
  • The Rangers dominated the dot, winning 60% of faceoffs.
  • PuckMetrics model had the Rangers as 53% favourites — it called this one.

PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 1st star
    A. Lafrenière

    NYR · 0G 2A

  2. 2nd star
    B. Catton

    SEA · 0G 2A

  3. 3rd star
    K. Kakko

    SEA · 1G 0A

Scoring summary

1st

3rd

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

NYRSEA
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits3618
Blocked1812
Power Play1/31/2
Faceoff %60.439.6
Corsi %----
xG----
Giveaways2018
Takeaways14

Seattle Kraken

Player statistics for Seattle Kraken
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
022+2014:50
1010216:40
011-2216:39
0110219:49
011+1114:07
101+2215:05
1010622:48
011-1326:42
000-1014:40
000-1310:13
----22/26--.84645:32
----11/15--.73313:53

New York Rangers

Player statistics for New York Rangers
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
022+1219:16
022+1118:41
1010315:39
1010219:59
0110012:39
011+1212:11
101+1109:49
1010218:44
0110125:16
0000221:01
----43/46--.93559:14
----25/28--.89300:00
NYRaway
53%
at
SEAhome
47%
Win probability6-pt gap
Model pick
NYR · 53% to win

Key signals

Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)Market Consensus BlendProjected Goaltending

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

NYR
3.2
–
SEA
3.0

Most likely final: SEA 2–3 NYR

SEA win
47%
NYR win
53%
Goes to OT/SO
24%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. SEA 2 – 3 NYR8%
  2. SEA 3 – 2 NYR8%
  3. SEA 3 – 4 NYR7%
  4. SEA 4 – 3 NYR7%
  5. SEA 1 – 2 NYR5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
56%
7+ total goals
45%
SEA by 2+
22%
NYR by 2+
27%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team DefenseSEA allowing +8% vs league average, NYR -3%.-0.32
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to SEA.+0.18
  • Team OffenseSEA scoring +2% vs league average, NYR -2% (time-weighted goal model).+0.13
  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.-0.08
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Philipp Grubauer (SEA) -0.04 g/gm; Dylan Garand (NYR) +0.02 g/gm.-0.06
  • InjuriesSEA without Curtis Douglas, Jared McCann, Ryan Lindgren; NYR without Joe Veleno, Sean Durzi, Adam Sykora.-0.02

PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

NYR

Actual (from shift data)
L1
14:58
18:41
18:44
L2
9:49
19:59
21:01
L3
6:27
12:45
15:29
15:39
L4
5:01
6:27
12:11
9:49
D1
17:40
23Fox
25:16
22:58
D2
17:02
22:42
20:23
D3
9:43
12:55
11:14
59:14
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

SEA

Actual (from shift data)
L1
15:11
16:56
19:49
16:40
L2
6:34
15:25
14:07
L3
8:57
14:50
15:05
L4
4:26
10:13
11:45
11:03
D1
20:13
26:42
25:29
D2
14:59
22:48
19:54
D3
8:32
13:17
45:32
Starter
13:53
Backup

Injured / Scratched

PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice