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FINALKeyBank Center · Nov 7
CBJ rest: 0dBUF rest: 1d

Game analysis

Sabres beat Blue Jackets 5–2

  • R. Dahlin scored the game-winner at 4:30 of the second.
  • U. Luukkonen stopped 24 of 26 shots (.923) for the win.
  • The Sabres controlled play, outshooting the Blue Jackets 36–26.
  • Power play: BUF 0/4, CBJ 1/3.
  • O. Power led all scorers with 0 goals and 3 assists.
  • PuckMetrics model had the Sabres as 58% favourites — it called this one.

PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 2nd star
    U. Luukkonen

    BUF · .923 SV%

  2. 3rd star
    J. Norris

    BUF · 2G 0A

Scoring summary

1st

2nd

3rd

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

CBJBUF
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits2019
Blocked1413
Power Play1/30/4
Faceoff %52.647.4
Corsi %----
xG----
Giveaways1215
Takeaways34

Buffalo Sabres

Player statistics for Buffalo Sabres
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
033+3320:20
202+3313:03
112+3317:21
011+2322:09
011+1015:37
011+2318:59
011+1317:30
101+2411:44
011+1115:18
101+1423:16
----41/43--.95360:00
----24/26--.92300:00

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player statistics for Columbus Blue Jackets
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
1120516:22
0110011:06
011-1119:17
011-1021:00
101-2324:38
000-1218:21
000-2112:51
0000008:00
0000108:45
000-2018:52
----45/50--.90059:42
----32/37--.86500:00
CBJaway
42%
at
BUFhome
58%
Win probability16-pt gap
Model pick
BUF · 58% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Rest / Back-to-BackHome IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)Market Consensus Blend

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

CBJ
2.8
–
BUF
3.2

Most likely final: BUF 3–2 CBJ · Actual: 5–2

BUF win
58%
CBJ win
42%
Goes to OT/SO
24%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. BUF 3 – 2 CBJ9%
  2. BUF 2 – 3 CBJ8%
  3. BUF 4 – 3 CBJ7%
  4. BUF 3 – 4 CBJ6%
  5. BUF 2 – 1 CBJ6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
52%
7+ total goals
42%
BUF by 2+
31%
CBJ by 2+
18%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team OffenseBUF scoring -0% vs league average, CBJ -9% (time-weighted goal model).+0.26
  • RestCBJ on the second night of a back-to-back.+0.17
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to BUF.+0.17
  • Team DefenseBUF allowing -0% vs league average, CBJ -3%.-0.07
  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.07
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) -0.08 g/gm; Jet Greaves (CBJ) -0.04 g/gm.-0.04
  • InjuriesBUF without Konsta Helenius.-0.03

PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

CBJ

Actual (from shift data)
L1
3:45
19:17
18:52
16:22
L2
4:22
12:51
18:21
16:39
L3
0:03
13:06
11:06
19:11
L4
3:39
8:00
9:54
8:45
D1
8:46
24:38
21:00
D2
6:35
20:51
16:38
D3
13:29
17:06
59:42
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

None reported

BUF

Actual (from shift data)
L1
10:30
22:09
18:59
15:37
L2
7:02
11:44
17:30
17:21
L3
10:10
13:49
13:03
13:00
L4
7:49
13:36
11:30
11:24
D1
10:22
23:16
20:32
D2
6:34
20:20
15:18
D3
9:25
18:25
14:51
60:00
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice