NSHaway
55%at
LAKhome
45%Win probability10-pt gap
Model pick
NSH · 55% to win
Key signals
Home IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)Team Defense (Goal Model)InjuriesProjected Goaltending
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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SCHEDULEDCrypto.com Arena · Nov 11
NSH rest: 3dLAK rest: 2d
Projected score
NSH
3.1
–
LAK
2.8
Most likely final: LAK 2–3 NSH
- LAK win
- 47%
- NSH win
- 53%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 24%
Likeliest scorelines
- LAK 2 – 3 NSH9%
- LAK 3 – 2 NSH8%
- LAK 3 – 4 NSH7%
- LAK 4 – 3 NSH6%
- LAK 1 – 2 NSH6%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 51%
- 7+ total goals
- 40%
- LAK by 2+
- 21%
- NSH by 2+
- 27%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to LAK.+0.18
- Team DefenseLAK allowing +0% vs league average, NSH -5%.-0.15
- InjuriesLAK without Mats Zuccarello, Kevin Fiala.-0.10
- Team OffenseLAK scoring -4% vs league average, NSH -1% (time-weighted goal model).-0.09
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Darcy Kuemper (LAK) -0.04 g/gm; Juuse Saros (NSH) +0.03 g/gm.-0.07
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
NSH
ProjectedLines from last completed game, minus injured players.
L4
1:06
Injured / Scratched
None reported
LAK
ProjectedLines from last completed game, minus injured players.
L1
17:49
D3
8:27
24:42
92Clarke
11:37
Injured / Scratched
- Jakub Dvorakinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Jan Jenikinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Mats Zuccarelloinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Alex Turcotteinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Kevin Fialainjured-reserve · Left Lower Leg (Surgery)
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice