NYRaway
42%at
EDMhome
58%Win probability16-pt gap
Model pick
EDM · 58% to win
Key signals
Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)Projected GoaltendingInjuries
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
← Back to Dashboard
SCHEDULEDRogers Place · Nov 10
NYR rest: 2dEDM rest: 1d
Projected score
NYR
2.9
–
EDM
3.4
Most likely final: EDM 3–2 NYR
- EDM win
- 58%
- NYR win
- 42%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 23%
Likeliest scorelines
- EDM 3 – 2 NYR8%
- EDM 4 – 3 NYR7%
- EDM 2 – 3 NYR7%
- EDM 3 – 4 NYR6%
- EDM 2 – 1 NYR5%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 56%
- 7+ total goals
- 46%
- EDM by 2+
- 31%
- NYR by 2+
- 19%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Team OffenseEDM scoring +13% vs league average, NYR -2% (time-weighted goal model).+0.43
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to EDM.+0.18
- Team DefenseEDM allowing -2% vs league average, NYR -3%.-0.06
- InjuriesEDM without Isaac Howard, Zach Hyman, Matt Savoie; NYR without Joe Veleno, Sean Durzi, Adam Sykora.-0.05
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Tristan Jarry (EDM) -0.01 g/gm; Dylan Garand (NYR) +0.02 g/gm.-0.03
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
NYR
ProjectedLines from last completed game, minus injured players.
L1
14:58
L2
9:49
D2
17:02
22:42
20:23
Injured / Scratched
- Joe Velenolong-term-injured-reserve · Right Lower Body
- Alberts Smitsother · Upper Body
- Aidan Thompsoninjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Igor Shesterkinlong-term-injured-reserve · Right Knee (Surgery)
- Adam Sykorainjured-reserve · Lower Body
- Sean Durziinjured-reserve · Lower Body
EDM
ProjectedLines from last completed game, minus injured players.
L1
6:00
D3
8:27
13:56
96Walman
12:18
Injured / Scratched
- Isaac Howardinjured-reserve · Left Knee
- Alec Regulalong-term-injured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Matt Savoielong-term-injured-reserve · Lower Body
- Mattias Janmarkinjured-reserve · Undisclosed (Surgery)
- Frederik Anderseninjured-reserve · Knee
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice