← Back to DashboardFINALSAP Center at San Jose · Oct 28
BUF rest: 3dSJS rest: 3d
Game analysis
Sabres beat Sharks 2–0
- 🚨O. Zellweger scored the game-winner at 0:50 of the second.
- 📈The Sabres scored first and led the rest of the way.
- 📈An empty-net goal sealed it late.
- 🧤C. Ellis posted a 23-save shutout.
- 🧤Y. Askarov kept the Sharks in it with 39 saves (.975).
- 📊HabsMetrics model had the Sabres as 52% favourites — it called this one.
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars
- ★1st star
- ★2nd star
- ★3rd star
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Team statistics comparison| Shots | -- | -- |
| Hits | 16 | 35 |
| Blocked | 20 | 12 |
| Power Play | 0/3 | 0/3 |
| Faceoff % | 44.8 | 55.2 |
| Corsi % | 51.5 | 48.5 |
| xG | 4.99 | 2.53 |
| Giveaways | 6 | 21 |
| Takeaways | 5 | 8 |
San Jose Sharks
Player statistics for San Jose Sharks| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 16:20 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:24 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 15:37 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 20:22 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 24:59 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 12:17 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 10:21 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:25 |
| -- | -- | 51/53 | -- | .962 | 59:21 |
| -- | -- | 38/40 | -- | .950 | 00:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Player statistics for Buffalo Sabres| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 24:49 |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 17:52 |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:01 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:10 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:44 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:02 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12:04 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 13:19 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:14 |
| -- | -- | 41/41 | -- | 1.000 | 59:58 |
| -- | -- | 23/23 | -- | 1.000 | 00:00 |
Most likely final: SJS 2–3 BUF · Actual: 0–2
- SJS win
- 48%
- BUF win
- 52%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 24%
Likeliest scorelines
- SJS 2 – 3 BUF8%
- SJS 3 – 2 BUF8%
- SJS 3 – 4 BUF7%
- SJS 4 – 3 BUF7%
- SJS 1 – 2 BUF4%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 58%
- 7+ total goals
- 48%
- SJS by 2+
- 23%
- BUF by 2+
- 27%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.-0.16
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to SJS.+0.16
- Team DefenseSJS allowing +8% vs league average, BUF +3%.-0.12
- Team OffenseSJS scoring -3% vs league average, BUF -0% (time-weighted goal model).-0.09
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Yaroslav Askarov (SJS) -0.04 g/gm; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) -0.09 g/gm.+0.05
- InjuriesSJS without Igor Chernyshov, Alexander Wennberg; BUF without Jiri Kulich, Sam Carrick, Conor Timmins.+0.01
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
BUF
Actual (from shift data)SJS
Actual (from shift data)Injured / Scratched
- Kyle Keyserinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Igor Chernyshovother · Upper Body
- Alexander Wennbergother · Upper Body
- Quentin Mustyinjured-reserve · Upper Body
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
