UTAaway
40%at
VGKhome
60%Win probability20-pt gap
Model pick
VGK · 60% to win
Key signals
Team Defense (Goal Model)InjuriesHome IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)Projected Goaltending
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
← Back to Dashboard
SCHEDULEDT-Mobile Arena · Nov 12
UTA rest: 3dVGK rest: 3d
Projected score
UTA
2.9
–
VGK
3.5
Most likely final: VGK 3–2 UTA
- VGK win
- 60%
- UTA win
- 40%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 23%
Likeliest scorelines
- VGK 3 – 2 UTA8%
- VGK 4 – 3 UTA7%
- VGK 2 – 3 UTA7%
- VGK 3 – 4 UTA6%
- VGK 2 – 1 UTA5%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 58%
- 7+ total goals
- 48%
- VGK by 2+
- 33%
- UTA by 2+
- 18%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Team DefenseVGK allowing -6% vs league average, UTA +3%.+0.28
- InjuriesUTA without Kailer Yamamoto, Nate Schmidt, John Marino.+0.21
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to VGK.+0.17
- Team OffenseVGK scoring +2% vs league average, UTA +7% (time-weighted goal model).-0.13
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Carter Hart (VGK) +0.00 g/gm; Karel Vejmelka (UTA) -0.10 g/gm.+0.10
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
UTA
ProjectedLines from last completed game, minus injured players.
Injured / Scratched
- Kailer Yamamotoother · Upper Body
- Maveric Lamoureuxinjured-reserve · Shoulder
- John Marinoinjured-reserve · Upper Body
VGK
ProjectedLines from last completed game, minus injured players.
Injured / Scratched
- Parker Wotherspooninjured-reserve · Upper Body
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice