← Back to Dashboard FINAL Capital One Arena · Oct 28
PHI rest: 0d WSH rest: 3d
Game analysis
Capitals beat Flyers 5–2 🚨 A. Protas scored the game-winner at 16:47 of the second. 📈 An empty-net goal sealed it late. 🧤 L. Thompson stopped 23 of 25 shots (.920) for the win. ⚡ Power play: WSH 1/3, PHI 1/4. ⭐ D. Strome led all scorers with 0 goals and 3 assists. 📊 HabsMetrics model had the Capitals as 64% favourites — it called this one. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars ★ 1st star ★ 2nd star ★ 3rd star Period by Period Stats not yet available
Team statistics comparison Shots -- -- Hits 23 32 Blocked 14 25 Power Play 1/4 1/3 Faceoff % 57.7 42.3 Corsi % 49.6 50.4 xG 2.19 4.01 Giveaways 19 11 Takeaways 2 2
Washington Capitals Player statistics for Washington Capitals Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 0 3 3 +1 2 15:48 0 2 2 +2 1 13:00 2 0 2 +3 5 18:41 0 2 2 +2 1 14:44 2 0 2 +1 3 15:34 1 0 1 +2 3 16:54 0 1 1 +1 1 20:37 0 1 1 +2 1 22:08 0 0 0 -1 4 14:16 0 0 0 0 0 17:01 -- -- 32/34 -- .941 60:00 -- -- 23/25 -- .920 00:00
Philadelphia Flyers Player statistics for Philadelphia Flyers Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 1 0 1 +1 3 18:17 1 0 1 -2 1 17:06 0 1 1 -1 4 19:09 0 1 1 -2 1 14:42 0 1 1 -1 2 17:19 0 0 0 -1 1 17:20 0 0 0 0 0 10:25 0 0 0 -2 2 15:27 0 0 0 0 0 08:55 0 0 0 -2 2 14:32 -- -- 37/42 -- .881 58:09 -- -- 25/30 -- .833 00:00
Most likely final: WSH 3–2 PHI · Actual: 5–2
WSH win 64%
PHI win 36%
Goes to OT/SO 24% Likeliest scorelines WSH 3 – 2 PHI 10% WSH 2 – 3 PHI 7% WSH 2 – 1 PHI 7% WSH 4 – 3 PHI 7% WSH 1 – 2 PHI 6% Goal totals & margins
6+ total goals 46%
7+ total goals 36%
WSH by 2+ 35%
PHI by 2+ 14% Key factors (goal margin, + favors home) Team Offense WSH scoring +5% vs league average, PHI -14% (time-weighted goal model). +0.58 Rest PHI on the second night of a back-to-back. +0.16 Team Defense WSH allowing +1% vs league average, PHI -4%. -0.15 Home Ice League-wide home scoring edge of +4% applied to WSH. +0.12 Market Consensus Blended 35% toward the consensus market. +0.10 Injuries WSH without Vincent Desharnais, Rasmus Sandin; PHI without Owen Tippett, Travis Konecny, Nikita Grebenkin. +0.05 Projected Goaltending Projected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Logan Thompson (WSH) +0.00 g/gm; Dan Vladar (PHI) -0.03 g/gm. +0.03 HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
PHI Actual (from shift data)
WSH Actual (from shift data) Injured / Scratched Patrick Thomas injured-reserve · Upper Body Vincent Desharnais injured-reserve · Abdomen (Surgery) Rasmus Sandin long-term-injured-reserve · Right Knee (Surgery) HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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