NSHaway
54%at
ANAhome
46%Win probability8-pt gap
Model pick
NSH · 54% to win
Key signals
Team Defense (Goal Model)InjuriesTeam Offense (Goal Model)Rest / Back-to-BackHome Ice
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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SCHEDULEDHonda Center · Nov 12
NSH rest: 0dANA rest: 2d
Projected score
NSH
3.4
–
ANA
3.2
Most likely final: ANA 2–3 NSH
- ANA win
- 48%
- NSH win
- 52%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 23%
Likeliest scorelines
- ANA 2 – 3 NSH7%
- ANA 3 – 2 NSH7%
- ANA 3 – 4 NSH7%
- ANA 4 – 3 NSH7%
- ANA 4 – 5 NSH4%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 61%
- 7+ total goals
- 51%
- ANA by 2+
- 23%
- NSH by 2+
- 27%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Team DefenseANA allowing +13% vs league average, NSH -5%.-0.51
- Team OffenseANA scoring +10% vs league average, NSH -1% (time-weighted goal model).+0.32
- InjuriesANA without A.J. Greer, Troy Terry, Ian Moore; NSH without Jonathan Marchessault.-0.22
- RestNSH on the second night of a back-to-back.+0.19
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to ANA.+0.18
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Lukas Dostal (ANA) -0.10 g/gm; Juuse Saros (NSH) +0.03 g/gm.-0.13
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
NSH
ProjectedLines from last completed game, minus injured players.
L3
6:57
Injured / Scratched
None reported
ANA
ProjectedLines from last completed game, minus injured players.
L4
5:35
Injured / Scratched
- Troy Terrylong-term-injured-reserve · Hip (Surgery)
- A.J. Greerinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Ian Mooreinjured-reserve · Lower Body
- Ryan Poehlinginjured-reserve · Lower Body
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice