STLaway
47%at
NSHhome
53%Win probability6-pt gap
Model pick
NSH · 53% to win
Key signals
Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Projected GoaltendingInjuries
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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StarterBackup
FINALBridgestone Arena · Nov 7
STL rest: 0dNSH rest: 0d
Game analysis
Predators beat Blues 3–1
- R. Colton scored the game-winner at 9:02 of the second.
- An empty-net goal sealed it late.
- J. Saros stopped 25 of 26 shots (.962) for the win.
- Power play: NSH 1/3, STL 1/2.
- S. Stamkos led all scorers with 1 goal and 1 assist.
- PuckMetrics model had the Predators as 53% favourites — it called this one.
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st
- 13:07STLJ. SnuggerudPPAssists: P. Broberg, R. Thomas1–0
- 16:07NSHS. StamkosPPAssists: M. Bourque, R. Josi1–1
3rd
- 18:31NSHN. PerbixENAssists: S. Stamkos, F. Forsberg1–3
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Team Stats
STLNSH
| Shots | -- | -- |
| Hits | 28 | 16 |
| Blocked | 12 | 18 |
| Power Play | 1/2 | 1/3 |
| Faceoff % | 49.2 | 50.8 |
| Corsi % | -- | -- |
| xG | -- | -- |
| Giveaways | 12 | 18 |
| Takeaways | 7 | 3 |
Nashville Predators
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 19:23 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25:38 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:48 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:55 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:35 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:22 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:02 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:01 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:29 | |
| -- | -- | 41/42 | -- | .976 | 60:00 | |
| -- | -- | 25/26 | -- | .962 | 00:00 |
St. Louis Blues
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 21:54 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:09 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28:21 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:38 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:14 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:39 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 11:43 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:31 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 15:36 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 12:48 | |
| -- | -- | 40/43 | -- | .930 | 58:36 | |
| -- | -- | 26/29 | -- | .897 | 00:00 |
Projected score
STL
2.9
–
NSH
3.0
Most likely final: NSH 3–2 STL · Actual: 3–1
- NSH win
- 53%
- STL win
- 47%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 24%
Likeliest scorelines
- NSH 3 – 2 STL9%
- NSH 2 – 3 STL8%
- NSH 4 – 3 STL7%
- NSH 3 – 4 STL6%
- NSH 2 – 1 STL6%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 51%
- 7+ total goals
- 41%
- NSH by 2+
- 27%
- STL by 2+
- 22%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to NSH.+0.18
- Team DefenseNSH allowing -5% vs league average, STL -2%.+0.09
- Team OffenseNSH scoring -1% vs league average, STL +1% (time-weighted goal model).-0.06
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Juuse Saros (NSH) +0.03 g/gm; Joel Hofer (STL) +0.06 g/gm.-0.03
- InjuriesNSH without Jonathan Marchessault; STL without Logan Mailloux, Tyler Tucker.+0.03
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
STL
Actual (from shift data)L2
10:49
L3
8:49
L4
7:57
30Hofer
58:36
0:00
Injured / Scratched
- Torey Kruglong-term-injured-reserve · Left Ankle
- Logan Maillouxinjured-reserve · Hand (Surgery)
- Dillon Dubeinjured-reserve · Neck
- Tyler Tuckerinjured-reserve · Left Knee (Surgery)
NSH
Actual (from shift data)Injured / Scratched
None reported
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice