CHIaway
21%at
CARhome
79%Win probability58-pt gap
Model pick
CAR · 79% to win
Key signals
Team Offense (Goal Model)Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceProjected GoaltendingInjuries
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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LIVELenovo Center · Nov 8
CHI rest: 1dCAR rest: 1d
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Projected score
CHI
2.1
–
CAR
4.0
Most likely final: CAR 3–2 CHI
- CAR win
- 79%
- CHI win
- 21%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 18%
Likeliest scorelines
- CAR 3 – 2 CHI8%
- CAR 4 – 3 CHI6%
- CAR 2 – 1 CHI5%
- CAR 4 – 2 CHI5%
- CAR 4 – 1 CHI5%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 56%
- 7+ total goals
- 44%
- CAR by 2+
- 54%
- CHI by 2+
- 7%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Team OffenseCAR scoring +13% vs league average, CHI -15% (time-weighted goal model).+0.85
- Team DefenseCAR allowing -13% vs league average, CHI +13%.+0.76
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to CAR.+0.18
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Pyotr Kochetkov (CAR) +0.06 g/gm; Spencer Knight (CHI) -0.04 g/gm.+0.09
- InjuriesCHI without Patrick Kane, Bowen Byram.+0.06
- Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.02
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
CHI
Actual (from shift data)L3
Injured / Scratched
- Patrick Kaneother · Upper Body
- Bowen Byraminjured-reserve · Upper Body
CAR
Actual (from shift data)L1
L3
Injured / Scratched
- Jordan Staalinjured-reserve · Calf
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice